Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds to Win US Open

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He would first trash Tomas Machac in straight sets and then Jiri Lehecka. The men’s singles semi-final match will be played at the Arthur Ashe Stadium on September 5 (Friday). In the USA, coverage will be on ESPN platforms—ESPN2, ESPNEWS, and ESPN+ across all rounds. After all, his serves let him down in Australia against Djokovic, and this facet of his game play determines the result more often than not. Alcaraz meanwhile has been increasing his level with every passing match, improving to 35 wins out of his previous 36, as he inches closer to the World No. 1 ranking.
Novak Djokovic is in the quarterfinals after relatively easy wins in the first four rounds. Because it is a battle between the past and future of tennis and two great players, one of them probably the best ever and the other his potential replacement. Despite fitness concerns that have plagued him throughout the season, including injuries at the Australian Open, Roland Garros, and Wimbledon, the Serbian once again showed his resilience and championship pedigree. With the Spanish sensation’s wins coming on clay and grass, it will be interesting to see whether the 22-year-old ends his 0-3 hard-court record against the seasoned 100-time titlist. Fresh off becoming the youngest player to reach the semi-finals on all three surfaces in multiple seasons (2023 and 2025), Alcaraz now aims to advance to his third consecutive Slam final and sixth overall. The only problem is that those two wins will likely need to come against Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, the top two players in the world and the winners of the last seven majors.
He also broke Sinner’s record to become the youngest player in the Open Era to reach four consecutive men’s singles finals at the Slams. By attacking the second serve and keeping Djokovic on the move, Alcaraz is tipped to secure his maiden Melbourne title and complete a historic career Grand Slam. Alcaraz’s only Grand Slam defeat in the last 52 weeks came at Wimbledon, where he lost his winning run in Slam title matches (then 5-0, now 6-1), and he enters Sunday’s match holding a 26-1 record at the leading events since losing to Djokovic at last year’s Australian Open. Having not dropped a set before his thrilling battle with Zverev, the Spaniard, who seemingly looked set to retire injured in Friday’s semi-final, found a second wind and reached Sunday’s title match, where he will compete for the career Grand Slam.
Novak Djokovic insists that he is motivated to « mess up the plans » of those who are expecting to see yet another Grand Slam final between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, but for the fourth time this season the 38-year-old may fall short in the last four of a Major. The stage is set for another thrilling showdown between two formidable players who represent the present and future of the sport. Alcaraz, on the other hand, is known for his recent successes, including winning the Paris Olympics and reaching several Grand Slam quarter-finals. Novak Djokovic from Serbia and Carlos Alcaraz from Spain have faced off several times on the tennis court. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Our prediction for Novak Djokovic v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in straight sets. The former world number one has defeated Alcaraz five times previously, most recently in Melbourne at the start of the year. Djokovic has lost in the semi-finals in all three majors so far this year. According to ChatGPT, « Alcaraz is the strong favorite, backed by form, fitness, and betting projections. Now, they won’t fight directly for the title, but whoever wins this match will certainly make a big step towards that title. That was the most dominant match played in this rivalry. First, Alcaraz left the court with a smile on his face, beating Djokovic in straight sets in the 2024 Wimbledon Championships final.
Djokovic lost the first set and was down, 2-1, entering the fourth, before clawing his way over the finish line. As lucky as the Serb was in the quarterfinals, he earned every bit of his victory over tournament-favorite Jannik Sinner in the semifinals. Alcaraz has been the best player in the tournament to date, winning 15 straight sets before taking down Alexander Zverev in a five-set marathon in the semifinals.
New users can get a first bet matched up to $250 with the latest Caesars payid pokies promo codes code. Before locking in any 2026 Australian Open men’s final picks for the first Grand Slam of the season, be sure to check out the top tennis betting picks from Onorato. The latest Djokovic vs. Alcaraz odds from DraftKings Sportsbook list Alcaraz as the -303 favorite (risk $303 to win $100), with Djokovic at +242. He needed five sets to defeat Alexander Zverev in the semifinals after winning every other Australian Open match in straight sets.
Both players have shown resilience and determination in their matches, with Djokovic having come back from two sets down eight times in his career. « The career grand slam on the line for Carlos, I mean before he’s 22, that’s just madness. This is history. It could go to five (sets), you know it’s going to be a bruising battle. » – with AP Djokovic has not been eliminated before the semis in Australia in five consecutive appearances, reaching the championship match four times before Jannik Sinner ended that streak last year in the semi-final, and Alcaraz seeks to halt that streak in the Serbian’s 15th Aussie Open last-eight match and 61st overall. I know he and I played a lot of times against him. Despite limited participation this season, Djokovic secured a 26-9 overall record, including 12-5 on hard courts. Alcaraz is in the last eight in Melbourne for the second consecutive season. The Spaniard won 17 straight sets before Zverev won back-to-back tiebreakers to send the semifinals to a fifth set, but the World No. 1 was able to dig it out, breaking the German’s serve with the tournament on the line.